ORACLE
Outcome Reasoning & Adjudicative Calibration Lattice Engine
Cobra Specialist
Forecast the probable BVA outcome before filing. Calibrate against the Stanford RegLab BVA dataset (324K cases). Tell the veteran what the panel is likely to do — not what we hope they'll do.
Born
April 14, 2026
Age
4 days
Brain tier
COLD
Domain
BVA Outcome Forecasting
Class
Self-modifying. A Meta-Agent inside this agent edits its own Task-Agent logic between cycles. It learns while it works.
Birth certificate
Life events
High = career milestone · Hot = critical · Warm = routine · Cold = idle / standby
high
Genesis
Trained on 324K BVA decisions (Stanford RegLab open dataset)
warm
Conformal prediction calibrated
ECE = 0.043 · 90% prediction-set coverage
hot
First contested forecast
Predicted remand on inadequate C&P — confirmed by docket review
Short loops
Reactive \u00b7 sub-second \u00b7 run on every input
620 ms median
Judge-history lookup + base-rate extraction
Long loops
Deliberative \u00b7 seconds-to-minutes \u00b7 run on demand or on schedule
1.6 min median
Conformal-set generation across 12 panel-composition scenarios
Tools wielded
Career performance
Analyses completed
22
Findings surfaced
22
Accuracy
79.0%
Self-modifications
2
GEPA cycles